Lawyers

Low Risk
28%
Where Would You Like to Go Next?
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Vote Comments (201)
Or, Explore This Profession in Greater Detail...
AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
23%
(Low Risk)
POLLING
33%
(Low Risk)
Average: 28%
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
9.6%
by year 2032
WAGES
$145,760
or $70.07 per hour
Volume
731,340
as of 2023
SUMMARY
JOB SCORE
8.1/10

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Calculated automation risk

23% (Low Risk)

Low Risk (21-40%): Jobs in this level have a limited risk of automation, as they demand a mix of technical and human-centric skills.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some very important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Negotiation

  • Persuasion

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Social Perceptiveness

  • Originality

User poll

33% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 23% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Lawyers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?






Sentiment

The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (quarterly)

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Very fast growth relative to other professions

The number of 'Lawyers' job openings is expected to rise 9.6% by 2032

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2024.

Wages

Very high paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Lawyers' was $145,760, or $70 per hour

'Lawyers' were paid 203.3% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Significantly greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 731,340 people employed as 'Lawyers' within the United States.

This represents around 0.48% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 207 people are employed as 'Lawyers'.

Job description

Represent clients in criminal and civil litigation and other legal proceedings, draw up legal documents, or manage or advise clients on legal transactions. May specialize in a single area or may practice broadly in many areas of law.

SOC Code: 23-1011.00

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Comments

Leave a comment

Sean (Highly likely) 7 days ago
It's already happening. I'm an intern at a BigLaw company and all of our procedural and contractual people are already using AI and kinda concerned about it. The only part that won't be automated is litigation, but most cases are settled out of court so...
0 0 Reply
Marty (No chance) 10 days ago
Not only does AI struggle to instantiate legal reasoning in reality, but on principle, it is a terrible idea to offload interpretation and reasoning to computers when it is about abstract concepts that govern the practical lives of human beings.
0 1 Reply
Mannara (Highly likely) 12 days ago
If the rules become easily categorized also connected, and we can simplify the situations, and the goal is not to find verity and justice, but just simply "rights" and economic goals, we can cut out the people to judge and AI can do it.
1 1 Reply
Marty 10 days ago
Nah, we don't want computers interpreting and arguing laws that govern human beings. Never. They can help with the tedium though.
0 1 Reply
Meriem Makri (No chance) 13 days ago
New regulations are introduced daily, so the machines need to be updated regularly. Justice is not a field that can be easily automated because the profile of each individual seeking justice varies greatly, as do the ways in which the law is applied (such as mitigating circumstances, etc.).
1 1 Reply
Person (Moderate) 13 days ago
when analising details it can easily make a story, who cares how it is phrased if everyone agrees it makes sense
0 0 Reply
John (No chance) 29 days ago
It requires nuanced opinion-formation and decision-making skills that cannot be replicated by a program. Not to mention, depending on the field, it may involve gut instinct and other talents which only humans have.
1 1 Reply
Jude Jordan 2 months ago
Lawyers will not be replaced by AI for a while because, regardless of how capable AI actually is in technical, ethical, and reasoning aspects, the people who will write into law and decide whether or not AI should be able to serve as lawyers, are themselves lawyers. The giant law industry as it is, will never allow for AI to legally serve as lawyers in the foreseeable future.
5 1 Reply
Bigmonkey123 (Low) 2 months ago
I think the puplic won’t really want a robot defending them
4 1 Reply
J 2 months ago
I worked in the job, and robots are nicer than many humans. And even professional receptionists.

They'll do less errors, and don't require sleep. No more receptionist that is away. Longer opening hours.

Why do you say robots have no empathy, you fillthy racist? They have it. Robots would probably beat you up.
1 7 Reply
'fillthy' racist, apparently 2 months ago
Robots have programmed empathy. They don't actually feel it, because it is a robot (could you guess?).
Not that I'd expect someone who doesn't even know the definition of 'racist' and just flings the word around however would know what empathy is...
And besides, you never even addressed what they said. They didn't even bring up empathy, as their point was about people not wanting a robot to defend them. You've brought up a completely nonsensical rebuttal to an argument that doesn't exist.
3 1 Reply
jim jim (Moderate) 2 months ago
AI will know and understand the law better than any human could.
3 4 Reply
J (No chance) 2 months ago
Being a lawyer requires understanding emotion, being able to improvise, and thinking out of the box.

These are the tasks that robots won't be able to fulfill for at least a decade from now.
3 1 Reply
J (No chance) 2 months ago
Being a lawyer requires understanding emotion, being able to improvise, and thinking out of the box.

These are the tasks that robots won't be able to fulfill for at least a decade from now.
2 0 Reply
AIPredictor (Low) 2 months ago
It is a low chance that a lawyer's job would be replaced by robots because of the fact that AI lacks the fundamental arguing skills and the "human" perspective into the side of things. An example of this would be if a lawyer is defending a client by saying the statement, "What would you do in this situation" and working your way up to it was the best decision they could have made. Also the robot lawyers would have to base their arguments off of data, which would mean their own lawyer would turn against them if having more proof for the other side
2 1 Reply
ez (Low) 2 months ago
this job requires skills like persuasion, originality, social perceptiveness, and more, which make it hard to automate.
2 0 Reply
Daddy Dirtbag (No chance) 2 months ago
Robots would be way less convincing
2 0 Reply
James (Low) 2 months ago
Lawyers are one of few occupations that require persuasivness to be good at your job. An AI cannot immitate human persuasivness unless it is made to be socially and mentally aware. This is a very unlikely scenario as it would come with big risk factors.
2 1 Reply
Niran (No chance) 2 months ago
Persuading a robot is impossible, or persuading as a robot.
2 1 Reply
shyla acharya (No chance) 3 months ago
No, I do not believe that lawyers would atleast in the next 20 years have any such automation risk, reason being that this occupation requires multiple human centric skills, which are inherent to human beings. While certain aspects of this profession can be polished through automated assistance but full automation seems imposible as of now.
2 1 Reply
jesiah! (Low) 3 months ago
the job requires way too much complicated thinking for ai to completely over take it
2 1 Reply
Jorge Ruiz (Highly likely) 4 months ago
Most of the time, you contact a lawyer for small cases, when you need quick and effective legal advice. For these cases, a trained AI system will be just fine.
1 0 Reply
a 3 months ago
no way. honestly it would take time to develop technology to that level, especially with the quick thinking and if something doesn't go their way or what they were programmed.
2 1 Reply
Phoenix5869 (No chance) 5 months ago
No chance in the next 20 years. Lawyers have such a high stakes, complicated job, and I think it`s extremely unlikely they will be automated anytime soon. maybe in 30-35 years, but not 20. 20 years is honestly pretty ridiculous.
0 1 Reply

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