Web Developers
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What's this?
We rate jobs using four factors. These are:
- Chance of being automated
- Job growth
- Wages
- Volume of available positions
These are some key things to think about when job hunting.
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Calculated automation risk
Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
User poll
Our visitors have voted that it's probable this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 53% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that Web Developers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?
Sentiment
The following graph is shown where there are enough votes to produce meaningful data. It displays user poll results over time, providing a clear indication of sentiment trends.
Sentiment over time (quarterly)
Sentiment over time (yearly)
Growth
The number of 'Web Developers' job openings is expected to rise 9.0% by 2033
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due 09-2025.
Wages
In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Web Developers' was $84,960, or $41 per hour
'Web Developers' were paid 76.8% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060
Wages over time
Volume
As of 2023 there were 85,350 people employed as 'Web Developers' within the United States.
This represents around 0.06% of the employed workforce across the country
Put another way, around 1 in 1 thousand people are employed as 'Web Developers'.
Job description
Develop and implement websites, web applications, application databases, and interactive web interfaces. Evaluate code to ensure that it is properly structured, meets industry standards, and is compatible with browsers and devices. Optimize website performance, scalability, and server-side code and processes. May develop website infrastructure and integrate websites with other computer applications.
SOC Code: 15-1254.00
Comments (75)
Even though these are not fully functional at the moment, to think we will stagnate on this for 20 years seems absurd to me. At the very least the job will transform into 90% AI-generated code, and 10% human guidance and adjustments
The integration of AI into these frameworks will allow it to generate and test much more complicate code effectively, allowing web designers to interatct with the framework on their own to get the code they need without any need for a developer, as the technical skill required to interact with such a framework will become much shallower.
There are already front-ends built by AI that have been trained on frameworks. Front-end developers must upskill by learning actual low level programming to further develop their frameworks, or transition into a back-end role, which will require actual programming skills. Front-end developers who do know how to program will be alright.
Frameworking is in no way similar to software engineering, ie engineering frameworks, or back-end data pipes. Software engineers will not be replaced as they are the ones creating such frameworks for frameworkers and AI alike.
I believe that, when building a web platform, the requirements analysis and the infrastructure design will still be done by humans for a very long time since they require advanced communication skills to fully understand the client's requests and their implications. However, the actual coding part can, more or less easily, be automated since, once the requirements have been specified, it doesn't require skills other than an advanced knowledge of the needed programming languages and tools and a certain degree of logic abilities, all of which can be achieved by AIs.
Therefore, I find it likely that at least this part of web development will be automated in the future.
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