Air Traffic Controllers

Moderate Risk
46%
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Vote Comments (13)
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AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
49%
(Moderate Risk)
POLLING
43%
(Moderate Risk)
Average: 46%
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
2.9%
by year 2033
WAGES
$137,380
or $66.04 per hour
Volume
22,310
as of 2023
SUMMARY
JOB SCORE
5.4/10

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Calculated automation risk

49% (Moderate Risk)

Moderate Risk (41-60%): Occupations with a moderate risk of automation usually involve routine tasks but still require some human judgment and interaction.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Originality

  • Social Perceptiveness

User poll

43% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted they are unsure if this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 49% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Air Traffic Controllers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?






Sentiment

The following graph is included wherever there is a substantial amount of votes to render meaningful data. These visual representations display user poll results over time, providing a significant indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Slow growth relative to other professions.

The number of 'Air Traffic Controllers' job openings is expected to rise 2.9% by 2033

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2021 and 2031
Updated projections are due 09-2024.

Wages

Very high paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Air Traffic Controllers' was $137,380, or $66 per hour

'Air Traffic Controllers' were paid 185.9% higher than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Lower range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 22,310 people employed as 'Air Traffic Controllers' within the United States.

This represents around < 0.001% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 6 thousand people are employed as 'Air Traffic Controllers'.

Job description

Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

SOC Code: 53-2021.00

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Comments

Ryan (Low) 5 months ago
the job requires humans to talk to pilots and ai could possibly not understand what the pilot is saying or that they may be unable to prevent an accident from happening
1 0 Reply
Ted (Low) 6 months ago
think about how many people go through Heathrow each day, that's a lot of trust in an robot/ai taking over
0 0 Reply
Gonzalo Sancho 1 year ago
As an air traffic controller I truly think we will not be entirely replaced. It’s a job with a lot of responsibility and there will always need to be someone behind the machine making the last decision. And something no one has talked about is the weather conditions, if there is a storm everything gets really complicated and I find it really difficult for a computer to get and process all the information required. Without taking into account weather conditions I could see the job replaced.
0 0 Reply
Philip (Low) 1 year ago
its risky to have robots doing risky jobs for people when human lives are at stake
0 0 Reply
Mike 1 year ago
I’ve got 18 years left until retirement. I’ve heard eventually we’re gonna just be ‘air traffic watchers’, there just in case things go wrong. We’re nowhere near that now, and the FAA usually lags behind on technology. But I wouldn’t mind the last few years in my career sitting back and watching a computer do it’s thing…
0 0 Reply
Dan (Moderate) 2 years ago
Due to the rapid development of incredibly intelligent technologies, with artificial intelligence becoming increasingly popular and lucrative in ever-expanding areas and fields for the betterment of human civilization, the air travel industry is no exception.

Most likely, air traffic control will be almost entirely automated, with human controllers making the ultimate decisions in extreme situations. Aircraft will be almost entirely integrated with artificial intelligence, making them even safer and more efficient than ever before.

It's only a matter of time rather than possibility.
0 0 Reply
Chinmay Narendra (Highly likely) 2 years ago
It is highly likely as robots can do this job because they have eyes and can learn about air traffic control.
0 0 Reply
Mike (Highly likely) 3 years ago
Unmanned Traffic Management is being currently tested. If it succeeds, Air Traffic Controllers will decrease in numbers as UTM spreads as a result of the increase of unmanned aircraft traffic in the skies.
0 0 Reply
Joey Rood (Low) 4 years ago
AI may get to a point where it will be indistinguishable from humans, especially in a standard exchange such as the kind air traffic communications have.
0 0 Reply
Gabriel Pinheiro 3 years ago
We already got to that point. Check out the Turing test and how many AIs have already passed it.
0 0 Reply
Camilo (Uncertain) 5 years ago
Planes are being driven by robots at this point, why wouldn't ATC be taken over by bots. Can a bot have a heart attack??
0 0 Reply
Ted 6 months ago
Autopilot is more or less inputting an altitude, or a climb/descent rate or speed into it, it then takes that and just figures it out, like if your going 250 knots and you input 200 knots into it, it would reduce the thrust, or if you set an increase in climb rate it would raise the nose. Its basically expecting those couple of inputs and knows how to correct them, it doesn't think on its own, it just does as its told, i don't think we're at all close to robots flying planes (famous last words 😅)
0 0 Reply
Bob 3 years ago
Just about everything said in this is wrong. Planes still have 2 human pilots controlling the autopilot. Autopilot doesn’t fly the plane the pilots do. Autopilot is cruise control in the plane not a pilot. Also, correct computers can’t suffer from a Heart attack but computers can bug, crash, fail due to power issues etc. and can improvise and problem solve. If an Aircraft went NORDO would the automated ATC know to use light gun signals at that specific aircraft ?
0 0 Reply

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