Cashiers

Imminent Risk
88%

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AUTOMATION RISK
CALCULATED
88%
(Imminent Risk)
POLLING
88%
(Imminent Risk, Based on 1,403 votes)
Average: 88%
LABOR DEMAND
GROWTH
-10.6%
by year 2033
WAGES
$29,720
or $14.29 per hour
Volume
3,298,660
as of 2023
SUMMARY
What does this snowflake show?
The Snowflake is a visual summary of the five badges: Automation Risk (calculated), Risk (polled), Growth, Wages and Volume. It gives you an instant snapshot of an occupations profile. The colour of the Snowflake relates to its size. The better the occupation scores in relation to others, the larger and greener the Snowflake becomes.
JOB SCORE
1.6/10
What's this?
Job Score (higher is better):

We rate jobs using four factors. These are:

- Chance of being automated
- Job growth
- Wages
- Volume of available positions

These are some key things to think about when job hunting.

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Calculated automation risk

88% (Imminent Risk)

Imminent Risk (81-100%): Occupations in this level have an extremely high likelihood of being automated in the near future. These jobs consist primarily of repetitive, predictable tasks with little need for human judgment.

More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.

Some quite important qualities of the job are difficult to automate:

  • Assisting and Caring for Others

  • Social Perceptiveness

User poll

88% chance of full automation within the next two decades

Our visitors have voted that it's very probable this occupation will be automated. This assessment is further supported by the calculated automation risk level, which estimates 88% chance of automation.

What do you think the risk of automation is?

What is the likelihood that Cashiers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?

Sentiment

The following graph is shown where there are enough votes to produce meaningful data. It displays user poll results over time, providing a clear indication of sentiment trends.

Sentiment over time (quarterly)

Sentiment over time (yearly)

Growth

Very slow growth relative to other professions.

The number of 'Cashiers' job openings is expected to decline 10.6% by 2033

Total employment, and estimated job openings

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the period between 2023 and 2033
Updated projections are due 09-2025.

Wages

Very low paid relative to other professions

In 2023, the median annual wage for 'Cashiers' was $29,720, or $14 per hour

'Cashiers' were paid 38.2% lower than the national median wage, which stood at $48,060

Wages over time

* Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Volume

Significantly greater range of job opportunities compared to other professions

As of 2023 there were 3,298,660 people employed as 'Cashiers' within the United States.

This represents around 2.2% of the employed workforce across the country

Put another way, around 1 in 46 people are employed as 'Cashiers'.

Job description

Receive and disburse money in establishments other than financial institutions. May use electronic scanners, cash registers, or related equipment. May process credit or debit card transactions and validate checks.

SOC Code: 41-2011.00

Comments (38)

Leave a comment
hi (Highly likely)
27 Jan 2026 18:16
Self-Checkout
Darian Mongiovi
03 Feb 2020 00:23
I work in retail and I have some some ideas about why automation hasn't already taken over. 1. Retail businesses may not have the profit margins to invest in robots/kiosks, the risk of this investment simply does not outweigh potential gains from it. 2. People are stupid and need help. People get frustrated already with kiosks, between finding things, coupon issues, questions about products, getting heavy things to vehicles. In a lot of retail settings cashiers double as customer service. Tech is ever evolving and it is hard for the average person to keep up, you would not believe how often I have to explain to people how to simply use there credit card. 3. Human to Human communication has a very large impact of returning customers. friendliness ratings have a very significant effects on weather or not a customer returns. robots simply cant recreate this. 4. retail businesses are constantly changing hands. When owners change so does the tech solutions, and integrating systems from different companies has caused many costly problems for retailers. Adding robots that run on these complicated inventory systems is just one more thing that can go wrong and potentially cause far more losses than the cost of an employee. 5. Tech is a business and the wouldn't be pushing for automation in retail without the potential for future profits. competition would lead to planned obsolescence and a lack of industry standards. This will mean that automation will not only be a huge investment, but will also come with routine costs to run. In the long run it may not be at all cheaper to replace minimum wage employees, If it made fiscal sense why hasn't macdonalds already done it? Big companies would have made the transition long ago if it was a guaranteed way to raise profits.
R (No chance)
14 Aug 2019 16:27
People can't read even those with masters degree
lol
19 Feb 2020 17:57
***holes took my job 2 years at jack in the box
Smol bean (Highly likely)
01 Jan 2020 16:41
Well I mean, every grocery store I go to there is almost always a self-checkout so... It's very likely the job will be taken over by robots.
Jeudy Diaz (Highly likely)
21 May 2025 23:36
it’s already happening with self checkout
Felix
17 Sep 2024 02:14
Yes self checkouts exist, but neurodivergent and people with disabilities may not be able to use it as easily. I think we should have both.
Faith (Low)
05 Jul 2023 00:30
Some customers do not prefer self checkout and as menial as it seems, cashiering requires a lot of understanding. I did hear an article say 97% of cashiering jobs will be replaced, but I worked in warehouse with customers from different cultures, accents and English proficiencies, or lack thereof. AI may interpret the words of those accents and proficiencies. AI may also fail to interpret charades of people who do not speak English.

My position required asking if a customer has an account or the benefits of taking a servey. A person who doesn’t understand English might also misinterpret the robot if it’s not built to accommodate their language. Robots can also misinterpret speech impediments, or even alternative augmented communications. Sudden glitches can exacerbate this.

However, some English native speakers are very skilled in understanding and communicating with ppl who don’t speak English compared to the average English native speaker not familiar with their language. You don’t have to be familiar with a person’s native language in order to precisely interpret accents or charades, that is, better than other English native speakers, with or without writing. I could make some of those non English speaking customers understand that they’re being asked about a store account and that they can win money from a survey, with or without writing, and I don’t share an ethnic background with most of those customers. This can make the buying process quicker and less frustrating with human interaction.

Many of the customers mentioned have English speaking relatives or translators, and PCs have translators in virtually every language. The US has no official languages, so they find a way to maneuver without speaking English. Unlike PCs, store computers only have Spanish and English. (I was exposed to people from all continents.)

Verbal communication and body language are the most vital keys to cashiering with people if all languages, and that’s why we still have human cashiers.


Our inventory computer system renews every night and is thus sometimes not accurate, so an empathetic humanistic voice may calm a customer.

A number of native English speakers fear AI replacing cashiers, whether it’s machine breakdown, misinformation, possible machine complexity, or political motivation later in the future (since they might become more human like but won’t get paid, or have some disadvantageous algorithmic agenda.) In the future, customers may feel more comfortable attacking the machine than another person.



Felix
17 Sep 2024 02:13
Yes! also for people with disabilities, self checkouts can be really inconvenient!
Jen Leonard (Highly likely)
25 Mar 2020 13:02
Many cashiers have already been replaced by self checkouts.
iz me Alex (Highly likely)
16 Jan 2020 19:27
I can definitely see robots taking over cashiers! No more chatty cashiers LOOOOOL
Kaler (Low)
13 Dec 2019 14:59
People need jobs and these will always be available
Donovan Briggs (Highly likely)
09 Dec 2019 01:51
I am literally certain no doubt they will be taken by automation.
collin (Moderate)
14 Nov 2019 19:35
I'm a cashier, they are starting to replace a lot of the registers with self check out, and also getting rid of a lot of my co workers.
Bud
15 Apr 2020 16:38
Yeah, cashiers are doomed. People already don't like to interact with other people while shopping.
Drone_Better (Highly likely)
01 Nov 2019 12:31
Self-serving already exists, we're going to adopt it more and it will get better.
Danxngo
12 Oct 2019 21:29
this is so sad "ha ha ha"
hi
31 Jul 2019 17:23
OH MY GOD LOOOOK AT THAT im dead
J
15 Jul 2019 21:57
There are already lots of order machines in Mcdonalds.
Sarah (Moderate)
25 Jun 2019 21:55
Online shopping is just becoming a big trend now. So I think cashiers would be likely laid off for that reason.
GAB (Highly likely)
27 May 2024 23:46
There are already self check out systems
matej (Highly likely)
01 May 2024 18:42
i think it robots will become cashiers because we already have self checkout booths and its not that hard to make a robot cashier probably

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