Explore safer careers (5)
Lower estimated automation risk
Why it fits
Directly reuses aircraft control, navigation, weather judgment, procedures, communications, and certifications.
Why it fits
Applies aircraft systems, flight rules, safety standards, procedures, maintenance awareness, and documentation.
Why it fits
Uses flight procedure knowledge, simulator scenarios, checklists, briefings, and performance feedback.
Why it fits
Applies incident response, risk planning, communication discipline, safety systems, and drills.
Why it fits
Uses airport procedures, safety, weather, dispatch coordination, navigation aids, and flight records.
Occupation snapshot
What does this snowflake show?
What's this?
We rate jobs using four factors. These are:
- Chance of being automated
- Job growth
- Wages
- Volume of available positions
These are some key things to think about when job hunting.
Risk & user votes
Calculated automation risk
Moderate Risk (41-60%): This occupation may be meaningfully affected by automation. Some parts of the role may be suitable for AI, software, or robotics, while others still rely on human skill, judgement, trust, or real-world context. People in this range may benefit from building skills that complement automation and reduce replacement risk.
More information on what this score is, and how it is calculated is available here.
Human strengths important in this job
These are human abilities and work contexts that are important in this occupation. They may help explain why parts of the role are harder to replace end-to-end, but they are not the only inputs into the automation score.
Decision-making and problem solving
Very importantWhy this matters
Social perceptiveness
Quite importantWhy this matters
Instructing
Quite importantWhy this matters
Active learning
Quite importantWhy this matters
What users think
Based on 1,470 votes
Our visitors have voted there's a low chance this occupation will be automated. However, the automation risk level we have generated suggests a higher chance of automation: 55% chance of automation.
What do you think the risk of automation is?
What is the likelihood that Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers will be replaced by robots or artificial intelligence within the next 20 years?
Sentiment
Based on user votes over time
View sentiment trend
How opinions have changed over time
Pay & outlook
Wages
In 2024, the median annual wage for Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers was $226,600 ($109 per hour).
The median annual wage for Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers was 357.8% higher than the national median annual wage, which stood at $49,500.
View wage trend
Wages over time
Growth
The number of 'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers' job openings is expected to rise 3.9% by 2034
View employment trend
Total employment, and estimated job openings
Updated projections are due 09-2025.
Volume
As of 2024 there were 99,300 people employed as 'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers' within the United States.
This represents around 0.06% of the employed workforce across the country
Put another way, around 1 in 1 thousand people are employed as 'Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers'.
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Job description
Pilot and navigate the flight of fixed-wing aircraft, usually on scheduled air carrier routes, for the transport of passengers and cargo. Requires Federal Air Transport certificate and rating for specific aircraft type used. Includes regional, national, and international airline pilots and flight instructors of airline pilots.
O*NET-SOC code: 53-2011.00
What people are saying (87)
20 years it will start with cargo flights.
Another 10 years after maybe commercial flights.
If an accident happens like where two planes go down due to MCAS designed by boeing. This probably set it back years for automation.
Look at Sully landing on the Hudson can a computer do that?
Miracle on the Hudson that was down to skill and knowledge and a brilliant Captain and First Office.
Capacity to AI takeover already exist but passanger trust will take longer to be achieved.
Most emergencies or abnormal events are known about and there are checklists to deal with them, but not every situation is the same or black and white. My specialty is flying airplanes, not computer science, but I find it hard to imagine current AI being able to properly handle a plane in an emergency, especially if it is a new situation.
There is also public opinion. I don’t like the idea because it takes a lot of jobs away, and I know many others don’t like the idea of a couple of hundred people being flown in an airplane completely controlled by AI.
The FAA is also notoriously slow with changing and adapting the rules. They have plenty of rules that are outdated and strange policies, but most of it is in the interest of safety. They prohibit people from flying unless they meet specific physical and mental health criteria. To my knowledge, pilots aren’t allowed to have any form of mental illness, and can’t take antidepressants or other similar things which could easily be treated.
The point I’m making here is that they’re slow to change and this big change would certainly take a while.
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